Regional bank stocks have been on the rise as concerns over the industry’s survival and deposit withdrawals ease. Tuesday saw the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), the largest ETF tracking a wide portfolio of regional bank stocks, approach a key resistance level marked by the 50-day moving average for the first time since the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March.
The regional bank stock gauge has surged over 20% from its lows on May 4 and delivered a trend reversal signal known as “bullish divergence on RSI” to technical analysts.
While banking equities reached fresh lows earlier this month, the momentum indicator deviated from the price action and rebounded to the upside. This divergence is used by technical analysts to identify a potential bottom in a stock or index.
As of the time of this writing, the regional banking ETF continues to trade approximately 33% below its levels prior to March’s banking crisis.
Chart: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF Tests 50-DMA
Key Stocks Driving The Rally In Regional Banks
- New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) is the KRE ETF’s biggest holding with a 5% weight and has seen its shares climb over 90% from the lows in March.
- Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) saw its shares rise over 400% since March lows and over 200% since the lows hit on May 5.
- Pacwest Bancorp. (PACW) has also risen over 200% since the lows hit on May 4.
- First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) has skyrocketed 165% since March lows and extended to fresh all-time highs last week.
- Zions Bancorporation (ZION) has gained 60% since the lows hit on May 4, while Comerica Inc. (CMA) rose 45%.
Regional Banks Still Trapped Near The Lows
- First Horizon Corporation (FHN) has risen 25% from the 2023 lows, but continues to trade over 50% lower than the pre-crisis levels.
- KeyCorp (KEY) is up 20% since lows, but still 43% lower than the pre-March levels.
- TFS Financial Corp. (TFSL) trades only 5% higher than its 2023 lows.
Read next: Jamie Dimon Says JPMorgan’s Stint Of Buying Struggling Regional Banks Is Likely Over
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