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Home»Trading Insights»Why You Should Hold on to National Vision (EYE) Stock
Trading Insights

Why You Should Hold on to National Vision (EYE) Stock

James TaylorBy James TaylorSeptember 19, 2023Updated:September 19, 2023No Comments3 Mins Read
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National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) is expected to perform well in the coming quarters due to the strength of its managed care business. The company’s stable liquidity provides optimism for targeted investments in support of growth initiatives. In the last reported quarter, National Vision achieved positive sales growth in its stores, surpassing the overall consolidated growth.

However, the termination of the long-standing partnership with Walmart and intense competition in the industry may impact National Vision’s business performance.

In the past year, National Vision’s stock has declined by 51.4%, compared to a 3.4% fall for the industry and a 14.5% rise for the S&P 500 composite. The company has a market capitalization of $1.29 billion and projects long-term estimated earnings growth of 19.8%, higher than the industry average of 14.6%. National Vision has surpassed earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 32.67%.

Upsides

The company’s Owned and Host subsegments are gaining market share, driven by factors such as age-related eyesight deterioration and the need for corrective eyewear. The expansion of remote medicine technology is also contributing to increased sales. National Vision plans to expand into at least 200 additional remote-enabled stores in 2023.

National Vision has a strong solvency and capital structure with ample cash and cash equivalents to pay off short-term debt. The company is focused on future strategies, including store expansion and marketing to drive traffic to its stores. It plans to allocate $115 million to $120 million in capital expenditures in 2023 to support growth initiatives.

Downsides

The termination of the Walmart contract is expected to result in significant noncash impairment charges, which may impact the company’s business. The transition period and potential disruptions could also negatively affect sales, productivity, and the retention of associates and optometrists.

National Vision faces tough competition from other national retailers, as well as online sellers of contact lenses and eyewear.

Estimate Trend

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for National Vision’s 2023 earnings per share (EPS) has remained constant at 53 cents in the past 30 days. The company’s 2023 revenues are projected to increase by 5.5% compared to the previous year.

Key Picks

Other stocks in the medical space that are performing well include Haemonetics (HAE), SiBone (SIBN), and Quanterix (QTRX).

Haemonetics has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters and has shown strong stock performance. SiBone has a high estimated earnings growth rate compared to the industry average. Quanterix has also surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters and has a positive stock performance.

For more information and the complete list of top stock picks, please refer to the original article on Zacks.com.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Nasdaq, Inc.

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Previous ArticleNeedham Affirms Buy Recommendation for SPS Commerce (SPSC)
Next Article # Is It Too Late to Buy Atlassian Stock? Atlassian’s (NASDAQ: TEAM) stock has seen a strong rally of nearly 60% this year. Investors have become optimistic about the enterprise software company as its revenue growth stabilizes and its operating margins expand. In this article, we will review Atlassian’s business model, growth rates, and valuations to determine if it is still a good time to invest in the stock. ## Stabilizing Growth and Evolving Business Model Atlassian was founded over two decades ago in Australia. Its two major products, Jira and Confluence, have helped companies plan and track software products and collaborate on documents, respectively. As of the end of fiscal 2023, Atlassian served 262,337 customers across its cloud, enterprise, and IT service management platforms. This represents an 8% growth from the previous fiscal year. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, 60% of Atlassian’s revenue came from its cloud platform, while the rest came from its data center (25%), server (9%), and marketplace and services (6%) platforms. Here are the revenue growth rates for these four businesses over the past year: – Cloud: 30% – Data center: 46% – Server: -27% – Marketplace and services: 17% Atlassian is currently migrating its server-based customers to its cloud and data center platforms and plans to discontinue support for its server business in February 2024. This shift explains the decline in server revenue and the projected drop to zero by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. While the cloud-based business experienced a slowdown due to macro headwinds, the data center unit grew slightly as it absorbed server-based customers. The marketplace and services segment continued to grow as Atlassian expanded its marketplace for third-party apps and subscription-based support services. For the first quarter of fiscal 2024, Atlassian expects its revenue to increase by 18% to 20% year over year, with cloud revenue growth projected at 25% to 27%. However, no specific guidance was provided for total revenue. Analysts anticipate an 18% growth for the full year, lower than the 26% growth in fiscal 2023. ## Margins and Valuations Over the past year, Atlassian maintained adjusted gross margins in the mid-80s, indicating strong pricing power. Cost-cutting measures, including layoffs, boosted its adjusted operating margins. However, for the first quarter of fiscal 2024, Atlassian expects adjusted gross margins to dip to 83.5%, and adjusted operating margins to decrease sequentially to 19.5%. For the full year, it predicts adjusted gross margins to decline by 130 basis points year over year to 83.5%, and adjusted operating margins to decrease by 190 basis points to 18.5%. During the fiscal fourth-quarter conference call, co-CEO Scott Farquhar attributed the margin compression to increased investments in the enterprise cloud platform, cloud-based migrations, and the development of new IT service management products. Farquhar believes fiscal 2024 will represent the lowest point for operating margins, with a subsequent rise back to historical norms in the coming years. While no guidance was provided for near-term profits, analysts still anticipate a 31% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the first quarter and an 11% increase for the full year. However, considering Atlassian’s downbeat margin outlook, the stock may still appear expensive at 95 times forward earnings. Comparatively, ServiceNow, a bigger cloud-based peer, is expected to grow its adjusted EPS by 31% this year and trades at just 47 times forward earnings. ## Considerations and Conclusion Investors should note that Atlassian is still unprofitable based on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.3. These fundamental weaknesses, along with the stock’s high valuation, may make it vulnerable to bearish sentiments in a high-interest-rate environment. In summary, while Atlassian continues to grow, the stock appears overvalued at present. It may be wise to wait for its valuations to cool off, observe progress towards generating GAAP profits, and monitor steps taken to reduce leverage before considering an investment in the stock. *Find out why Atlassian is one of the 10 best stocks to buy now! Visit the full article for the list of top picks.* – Leo Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Atlassian and ServiceNow. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. *Stock Advisor returns as of September 11, 2023.*
James Taylor
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A writer and finance enthusiast who loves diving into the exciting world of stocks, commodities, forex, and crypto. I'm all about making the financial markets less intimidating and more accessible, so I write engaging content that simplifies complex concepts and shares practical investment strategies. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, I've got your back! But hey, life isn't all about work, right? On weekends, you'll find me hanging out and having a blast with my awesome friends and family. We love bonding over shared interests, trying out new adventures, and simply enjoying each other's company. Striking that balance between work and play is super important to me, because what's the point of success if you can't share it with the people you love? So, if you're up for some financial market insights and a good dose of weekend fun, stick around! Together, we'll navigate the money world and make the most of our time off. Let's learn, grow, and create memories along the way!

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